01Define the capacity question
State SKU mix, approved revision, required sellable or conforming units, production start range, inspection allowance and cargo-ready date. Clarify whether the need is one-time, seasonal or recurring. Keep pieces, pairs, sets, cartons, machine hours and good units separate. A monthly number cannot be evaluated without the period, mix and output definition behind it.
02Map the complete production route
List incoming inspection, preparation, molding or fabrication, finishing, software loading where relevant, assembly, aging, testing, labeling, packing and outsourced steps. Record work centers, parallel resources, batch sizes, transfer time and changeovers. Include sub-suppliers and package printing; a fast final assembly line cannot recover a delayed critical input.
03Find the real constraint
Compare required load with available time at every necessary step. Examine tooling cavities, fixture count, cure or aging duration, specialist labor, test stations, inspection, rework and pack-out—not only the largest machine. Ask how the constraint changes with model and variant mix. Verify whether claimed parallel lines are qualified for the same product.
04Use actual performance evidence
Request recent dated records for comparable products: planned and actual output, cycle time, uptime, first-pass yield, scrap, rework and on-time completion. Normalize units and separate theoretical speed from sustained good output. Review more than one favorable shift or day. Explain abnormal periods instead of silently excluding them from the capacity claim.
05Subtract load, downtime and readiness gaps
Map confirmed orders sharing the same material, tooling, equipment and labor during the requested window. Include planned maintenance, holidays, training, changeovers and normal losses. Treat new machines, overtime, added shifts and temporary workers as capacity changes that need dates, competence, quality controls and demonstrated output before reliance.
06Model constraints and recovery
Calculate a base case, a material-delay or lower-yield case and a recovery case with explicit assumptions. Identify alternate approved tooling, lines, sub-suppliers or schedule sequences and the approvals they require. Do not solve a constraint by moving work to an undisclosed site or substituting an unapproved input. Assign early warning thresholds and escalation owners.
07Validate and monitor the promise
Use a pilot, first production run or early milestone to compare assumed and actual cycle, yield, output and quality. Update the remaining schedule from measured performance. Track constraint utilization, material readiness, good units, rework and milestone variance through pack-out. Record lessons for the next order rather than preserving an outdated annual capacity figure.